EconomyThursday, 18 June 2026·The Hindu - Economy

India GDP growth estimated at 7.7% in FY 2025-26, with Q4 at 7.8%

Government data released on June 5, 2026 estimated India’s GDP growth at 7.7% for FY 2025-26 and 7.8% for Q4.

Key highlights

Direct fact

On June 5, 2026, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation estimated India’s GDP growth at 7.7% for FY 2025-26 and 7.8% for the fourth quarter of 2025-26.

Key specifics

  • The previous financial year 2024-25 recorded GDP growth of 7.1%.
  • The February 2026 estimate for FY 2025-26 was 7.6%, later revised to 7.7%.
  • RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said growth in 2026-27 was expected to slow to 6.6%.
  • Manufacturing growth in FY 2025-26 was estimated at 10.7%, up from 9.3% in the first revised estimates for 2024-25.
  • Private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) was estimated to grow 7.7% in 2025-26, while gross fixed capital formation was estimated at 8.2%.

Exam lens

Economy and national accounts question type: GDP 7.7%, Q4 7.8%, 2024-25 growth 7.1%, RBI forecast 6.6%, PFCE 7.7%, GFCF 8.2% — TNPSC may ask which ministry releases provisional GDP estimates.

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